costprojections.cancer.govCancer Prevalence and Cost of Care Projections

Skip to Main Content -- <![endif]--> Home Graph by Site & Phase National Cost Prevalence Costs per Patient Contact Key Facts 18.1 million cancer survivors in 2020, 30% more than 2010 National cost of cancer care: $157 billion in 2010 dollars Growth and aging of the U.S. population is the primary cause Create Your Own Chart Graph by Cancer Site and Phase of Cancer (See National cost of care or prevalence for cancer site, sex, age and year under various assumptions) Projection Tables for 2020 National Cost for Cancer Care Cancer Prevalence Base Data Average Annualized Net Costs of Care per patient Cancer prevalence was estimated and projected by tumor site through 2020 using incidence and survival data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Program and population projections from the U.S. Census Bureau. Annualized mean net costs of care per patient were estimated using Medicare claims linked to SEER data and adjusted to represent costs in 2010 US dollars. National costs was estimated by combining cancer prevalence and annualized mean net costs of care per patient. Different scenarios for assumptions about trends in incidence, survival, and cost were assessed with sensitivity analysis 1 . Projections of current trends in incidence (declining) and survival (increasing) have almost no effect on these estimates. However, if costs of care increase annually by 2% in the initial and last year of life phases of care 2 , the total cost in 2020 is projected to be $174 billion. Sensitivity analysis: An evaluation of the impact of different assumptions about model inputs (e.g., future cancer incidence rates) that are uncertain. Phases of care: Initial year after diagnosis, Last year of life , and the period between ( Continuing ). Months of survival are first applied to last year of life, any remaining to initial phase, then to continuing. This site is based on a study that estimates and projects the national cost of cancer care through the year 2020 separately for multiple cancer sites using the most recent available U.S. population projections, cancer incidence, survival, and cost of care data. More information about the methods, data sources and assumptions in: Mariotto AB, Yabroff KR, Shao Y, Feuer EJ, Brown ML. Projections of the Cost of Cancer Care in the U.S.: 2010-2020 . J Natl Cancer Inst . 2011 Jan. Privacy Policy | Accessibility | FOIA U.S. Department of Health and Human Services | National Institutes of Health | National Cancer Institute | USA.gov NIH…Turning Discovery Into Health®...